Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 82.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Beagle
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Scheifele
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Beagle
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
48.5% (631)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
67.2% (61)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
33.3% (15)
+16.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Beagle is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Beagle shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Beagle
Scheifele
Home
57.9% (171)
52.0% (358)
Away
54.0% (137)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Beagle
Scheifele
P1
53.3%
46.3%
P2
61.5%
50.9%
P3
54.1%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
41.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |