Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Perreault 50.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 60.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 83.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Beagle
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Beagle
Perreault
Last 7: Beagle 6-1 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Perreault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Perreault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
47.6% (147)
+9.2%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
63.4% (41)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
100.0% (1)
-45.4%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Perreault is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Beagle
Perreault
Home
57.6% (552)
57.0% (121)
Away
55.1% (555)
41.2% (68)
By Period
Beagle
Perreault
P1
56.9%
56.9%
P2
59.0%
42.1%
P3
54.0%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |