Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 27 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 61.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Beagle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
21
(50 meetings)
29
21
Beagle
Duchene
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
13
Beagle
Duchene
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
23
4
Beagle
Duchene
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
4
Beagle
Duchene
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
54.0% (10,249)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
56.9% (1,620)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
49.3% (467)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,422).
Home / Away
Beagle
Duchene
Home
59.1% (3,228)
55.6% (6,270)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
52.7% (6,090)
By Period
Beagle
Duchene
P1
57.4%
54.5%
P2
57.1%
54.5%
P3
56.2%
53.4%
OT
41.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |