Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Duchene 55.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 95.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 80.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Beagle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beagle
Duchene
Last 5: Beagle 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Beagle
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Beagle
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
56.0% (579)
+3.0%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
59.3% (108)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
25.0% (8)
+32.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Duchene is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Beagle
Duchene
Home
62.7% (306)
54.9% (375)
Away
56.2% (372)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Beagle
Duchene
P1
64.5%
58.3%
P2
56.7%
56.7%
P3
56.2%
53.1%
Final 5 min
62.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |