Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Chaput 51.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Chaput leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Chaput 77.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.4%
Neutral zone
Chaput 51.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Beagle
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Beagle
Chaput
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Chaput
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
3
Beagle
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Chaput
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
52.2% (1,168)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
42.9% (14)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
42.9% (70)
+11.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Beagle
Chaput
Home
59.1% (3,228)
53.5% (602)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Beagle
Chaput
P1
57.4%
48.6%
P2
57.1%
51.6%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |