Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Chaput 50.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 64.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 85.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 67.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Beagle
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beagle
Chaput
Last 5: Beagle 3-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Chaput
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Chaput
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
52.4% (210)
+5.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
42.4% (33)
+10.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Beagle shoots right. Chaput is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Beagle
Chaput
Home
58.2% (378)
52.6% (133)
Away
54.2% (380)
48.6% (111)
By Period
Beagle
Chaput
P1
58.8%
46.6%
P2
51.9%
50.6%
P3
58.1%
56.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |