Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 65.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Beagle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Beagle
Backlund
Last 10: Beagle 2-8 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
10
Beagle
Backlund
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
9
4
Beagle
Backlund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
4
Beagle
Backlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
49.7% (13,410)
+7.8%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
51.6% (1,336)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
44.0% (2,446)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Beagle
Backlund
Home
59.1% (3,228)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Beagle
Backlund
P1
57.4%
48.5%
P2
57.1%
50.3%
P3
56.2%
48.4%
OT
41.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |