Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Backlund 47.6% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 76.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 76.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Beagle
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Backlund
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Beagle
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
47.3% (630)
+11.7%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
48.5% (66)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
46.3% (82)
+10.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Backlund is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Beagle
Backlund
Home
62.7% (306)
50.4% (347)
Away
56.2% (372)
44.8% (431)
By Period
Beagle
Backlund
P1
64.5%
46.7%
P2
56.7%
44.9%
P3
56.2%
49.8%
Final 5 min
62.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |