Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Ribeiro 43.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 57.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 97.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 90.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Beagle
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Beagle
Ribeiro
Last 7: Beagle 7-0 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
42.7% (1,121)
+15.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
46.2% (221)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
16.7% (6)
+35.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Ribeiro is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Beagle
Ribeiro
Home
57.9% (183)
44.9% (710)
Away
55.2% (201)
41.2% (638)
By Period
Beagle
Ribeiro
P1
54.7%
43.8%
P2
62.1%
44.6%
P3
50.9%
40.3%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |