Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Grabovski 50.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Grabovski leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Grabovski 73.1%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 52.5%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 59.3%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Beagle
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Beagle
Grabovski
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
4
Beagle
Grabovski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Grabovski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
3
Beagle
Grabovski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
51.9% (568)
+3.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
39.1% (69)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
100.0% (1)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Grabovski is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Beagle
Grabovski
Home
58.0% (226)
51.6% (318)
Away
54.1% (218)
49.7% (320)
By Period
Beagle
Grabovski
P1
54.7%
52.6%
P2
57.7%
49.5%
P3
56.1%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |