Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Grigorenko 55.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 74.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 81.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.8%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Beagle
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beagle
Grigorenko
Last 5: Beagle 3-2 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Beagle
Grigorenko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
54.8% (157)
+2.0%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
40.0% (5)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
76.7% (30)
-22.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Grigorenko is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Beagle
Grigorenko
Home
57.6% (552)
64.4% (118)
Away
55.1% (555)
47.3% (74)
By Period
Beagle
Grigorenko
P1
56.9%
54.2%
P2
59.0%
55.6%
P3
54.0%
63.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |