Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Koivu 54.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 77.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 50.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Beagle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
24
(45 meetings)
21
24
Beagle
Koivu
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
14
Beagle
Koivu
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
11
3
Beagle
Koivu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
7
Beagle
Koivu
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
54.0% (9,465)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
58.6% (2,100)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
48.9% (1,688)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Beagle
Koivu
Home
59.1% (3,228)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Beagle
Koivu
P1
57.4%
53.5%
P2
57.1%
54.6%
P3
56.2%
54.0%
OT
41.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |