Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Koivu 52.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 72.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 55.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Beagle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beagle
Koivu
Last 9: Beagle 3-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Beagle
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Beagle
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (173)
52.5% (802)
+8.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
52.0% (198)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
49.5% (105)
-5.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Beagle is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Beagle shoots right. Koivu is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Beagle
Koivu
Home
58.3% (115)
54.6% (584)
Away
57.0% (100)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Beagle
Koivu
P1
57.1%
50.7%
P2
55.6%
51.1%
P3
62.1%
54.4%
OT
42.9%
57.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |