Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Petan 45.7% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 69.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 89.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 58.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Beagle
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Beagle
Petan
Last 8: Beagle 4-4 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
2
Beagle
Petan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Petan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Petan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
45.4% (416)
+12.1%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
34.6% (26)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
0.0% (1)
+54.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Beagle
Petan
Home
59.1% (3,228)
42.3% (196)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
46.6% (247)
By Period
Beagle
Petan
P1
57.4%
51.9%
P2
57.1%
45.0%
P3
56.2%
35.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |