Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Bonino 50.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 70.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 67.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Beagle
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Beagle
Bonino
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Beagle
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Beagle
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Beagle
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
50.2% (691)
+7.9%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
61.5% (78)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
45.6% (149)
+9.8%
On power play, Beagle has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Bonino is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bonino
Home
57.0% (307)
52.7% (467)
Away
59.1% (330)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Beagle
Bonino
P1
59.1%
48.9%
P2
59.8%
50.2%
P3
56.4%
51.7%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |