Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Bonino 52.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 92.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 52.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Beagle
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beagle
Bonino
Last 9: Beagle 3-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
6
Beagle
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
52.0% (717)
+7.0%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
62.7% (67)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
50.7% (144)
+6.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bonino
Home
62.7% (306)
54.8% (429)
Away
56.2% (372)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Beagle
Bonino
P1
64.5%
53.5%
P2
56.7%
49.5%
P3
56.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
62.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |