Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 64.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 69.9%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Beagle
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Beagle
Jokinen
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Beagle
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
3
Beagle
Jokinen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Beagle
Jokinen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
45.8% (3,924)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
50.8% (585)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
42.9% (247)
+11.3%
On even strength, Beagle has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Beagle
Jokinen
Home
59.1% (3,228)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Beagle
Jokinen
P1
57.4%
45.6%
P2
57.1%
47.5%
P3
56.2%
45.4%
OT
41.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |