Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Engvall 43.7% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 71.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 97.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 90.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Beagle
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beagle
Engvall
Last 7: Beagle 5-2 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Engvall
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Engvall
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Engvall
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
41.8% (471)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
53.7% (41)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
41.2% (51)
+13.0%
On even strength, Beagle has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Engvall is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Beagle
Engvall
Home
59.1% (3,228)
45.6% (248)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
40.3% (315)
By Period
Beagle
Engvall
P1
57.4%
45.3%
P2
57.1%
43.1%
P3
56.2%
39.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |