Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Peverley 57.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 67.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 82.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 65.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Beagle
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Beagle
Peverley
Last 7: Beagle 2-5 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Beagle
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Beagle
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
58.0% (1,715)
-0.5%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
57.0% (391)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
59.2% (333)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Beagle
Peverley
Home
59.1% (3,228)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Beagle
Peverley
P1
57.4%
59.6%
P2
57.1%
57.8%
P3
56.2%
57.0%
OT
41.3%
51.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |