Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Nash 48.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 88.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 81.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Beagle
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
21
(33 meetings)
12
21
Beagle
Nash
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
9
Beagle
Nash
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
3
Beagle
Nash
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
6
9
Beagle
Nash
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
48.7% (4,621)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
51.0% (249)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
44.9% (550)
+9.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nash
Home
59.1% (3,228)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Beagle
Nash
P1
57.4%
49.0%
P2
57.1%
47.9%
P3
56.2%
48.0%
OT
41.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |