Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Nash 50.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 73.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 67.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Beagle
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Beagle
Nash
Last 6: Beagle 1-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Beagle
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Beagle
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
50.1% (752)
+8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.8% (104)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
53.9% (102)
-1.3%
On power play, Nash has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Beagle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Beagle shoots right. Nash is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Beagle
Nash
Home
57.9% (183)
51.0% (502)
Away
55.2% (201)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Beagle
Nash
P1
54.7%
49.4%
P2
62.1%
50.9%
P3
50.9%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |