Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Sheahan 46.3% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 69.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 89.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 75.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Beagle
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beagle
Sheahan
Last 8: Beagle 6-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
2
Beagle
Sheahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
45.9% (619)
+12.2%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
46.7% (45)
+37.9%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
44.9% (118)
+10.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Sheahan is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Beagle
Sheahan
Home
57.0% (307)
44.8% (402)
Away
59.1% (330)
46.8% (380)
By Period
Beagle
Sheahan
P1
59.1%
48.9%
P2
59.8%
44.8%
P3
56.4%
43.5%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |