Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 51.4% vs Getzlaf 49.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 54.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 54.9%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 55.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Beagle
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beagle
Getzlaf
Last 6: Beagle 2-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Beagle
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Beagle
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (514)
49.5% (1,086)
+1.7%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
57.0% (93)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (41)
43.5% (232)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Beagle is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Beagle shoots right. Getzlaf is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (509).
Home / Away
Beagle
Getzlaf
Home
57.1% (280)
53.0% (664)
Away
46.4% (293)
45.5% (747)
By Period
Beagle
Getzlaf
P1
46.5%
48.4%
P2
56.3%
51.7%
P3
52.0%
46.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |