Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Spooner 45.5% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 73.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 88.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 74.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Beagle
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Beagle
Spooner
Last 9: Beagle 5-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
2
Beagle
Spooner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
1
Beagle
Spooner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
1
Beagle
Spooner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
43.8% (194)
+16.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
37.5% (16)
+5.4%
On even strength, Beagle has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Beagle shoots right. Spooner is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Beagle
Spooner
Home
61.9% (475)
42.3% (104)
Away
55.4% (523)
44.3% (106)
By Period
Beagle
Spooner
P1
60.5%
40.6%
P2
54.4%
51.9%
P3
61.3%
36.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |