Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 52.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 86.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 72.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Beagle
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beagle
Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.9% (3,221)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
59.3% (437)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
48.0% (764)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Beagle
Koivu
Home
59.1% (3,228)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Beagle
Koivu
P1
57.4%
51.1%
P2
57.1%
52.6%
P3
56.2%
51.8%
OT
41.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |