Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Gagner 48.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 68.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 82.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Beagle
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Beagle
Gagner
Last 6: Beagle 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Beagle
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
46.5% (310)
+10.3%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
50.4% (115)
+14.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Beagle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Beagle shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Beagle
Gagner
Home
57.6% (552)
52.4% (212)
Away
55.1% (555)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Beagle
Gagner
P1
56.9%
46.2%
P2
59.0%
52.2%
P3
54.0%
43.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |