Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Monahan 51.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 79.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Beagle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Beagle
Monahan
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Beagle
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Beagle
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
50.8% (723)
+6.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.3% (152)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
46.2% (13)
+6.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Beagle shoots right. Monahan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Beagle
Monahan
Home
58.2% (378)
52.5% (421)
Away
54.2% (380)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Beagle
Monahan
P1
58.8%
51.4%
P2
51.9%
52.3%
P3
58.1%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |