Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Monahan 52.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 86.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 72.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Beagle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Beagle
Monahan
Last 7: Beagle 6-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
52.1% (858)
+6.9%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
55.9% (177)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
33.3% (9)
+23.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Beagle shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Beagle
Monahan
Home
62.7% (306)
52.6% (504)
Away
56.2% (372)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Beagle
Monahan
P1
64.5%
56.7%
P2
56.7%
52.1%
P3
56.2%
48.1%
Final 5 min
62.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |