Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 77.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 98.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 94.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Beagle
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Beagle
Kalinin
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
2
Beagle
Kalinin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
1
Beagle
Kalinin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
2
Beagle
Kalinin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
41.9% (453)
+15.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
33.3% (18)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
40.0% (25)
+14.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Kalinin is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Beagle
Kalinin
Home
59.1% (3,228)
42.8% (285)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Beagle
Kalinin
P1
57.4%
43.8%
P2
57.1%
40.6%
P3
56.2%
40.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |