Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Gionta 41.2% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Gionta leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gionta 58.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 79.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 55.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Beagle
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Beagle
Gionta
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
7
Beagle
Gionta
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
40.6% (1,902)
+16.9%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
61.5% (26)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
40.1% (292)
+14.1%
On even strength, Beagle has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Beagle
Gionta
Home
59.1% (3,228)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Beagle
Gionta
P1
57.4%
40.8%
P2
57.1%
41.8%
P3
56.2%
39.8%
OT
41.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |