Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 51.4% vs Gionta 42.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 66.4%
Defensive zone
Gionta 64.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 68.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Beagle
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Beagle
Gionta
Last 8: Beagle 3-5 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Beagle
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
4
Beagle
Gionta
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (514)
40.5% (526)
+10.7%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
50.0% (2)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (41)
45.3% (53)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Beagle is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Beagle shoots right. Gionta is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Beagle
Gionta
Home
57.1% (280)
46.3% (300)
Away
46.4% (293)
35.2% (281)
By Period
Beagle
Gionta
P1
46.5%
41.8%
P2
56.3%
42.0%
P3
52.0%
38.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |