Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 52.7% vs Weiss 53.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 51.1%
Defensive zone
Weiss 51.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.2%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Beagle
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Beagle
Weiss
Last 8: Beagle 2-6 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
5
Beagle
Weiss
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Weiss
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (91)
53.3% (942)
+6.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.1% (212)
-56.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
55.9% (93)
-22.6%
On power play, Weiss has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Beagle is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Beagle shoots right. Weiss is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Beagle
Weiss
Home
65.7% (35)
55.1% (680)
Away
50.0% (70)
52.4% (599)
By Period
Beagle
Weiss
P1
63.2%
53.1%
P2
45.2%
57.4%
P3
60.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
55.2%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 11, 2011 | OT | 02:03 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 11, 2011 | OT | 00:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |