Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Ott 55.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 65.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 71.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 56.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Beagle
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Beagle
Ott
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Beagle
Ott
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
2
Beagle
Ott
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
57.2% (2,802)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
55.4% (567)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
49.9% (853)
+4.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Beagle
Ott
Home
59.1% (3,228)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Beagle
Ott
P1
57.4%
56.7%
P2
57.1%
53.9%
P3
56.2%
55.7%
OT
41.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |