Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Teravainen 45.1% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 53.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 97.8%
Neutral zone
Beagle 90.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Beagle
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beagle
Teravainen
Last 8: Beagle 6-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Teravainen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Teravainen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Teravainen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
45.5% (1,211)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
41.8% (170)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
40.5% (84)
+13.7%
On power play, Beagle has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Teravainen is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Beagle
Teravainen
Home
59.1% (3,228)
47.2% (741)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
42.3% (724)
By Period
Beagle
Teravainen
P1
57.4%
47.7%
P2
57.1%
42.5%
P3
56.2%
45.1%
OT
41.3%
29.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |