Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Teravainen 47.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 55.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 83.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Beagle
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beagle
Teravainen
Last 7: Beagle 5-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Teravainen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Teravainen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
47.2% (392)
+9.6%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
38.1% (21)
+26.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Teravainen is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Beagle
Teravainen
Home
57.6% (552)
51.5% (231)
Away
55.1% (555)
40.7% (182)
By Period
Beagle
Teravainen
P1
56.9%
49.6%
P2
59.0%
48.7%
P3
54.0%
43.4%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |