Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Filppula 48.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 79.2%
Defensive zone
Filppula 57.2%
Neutral zone
Filppula 69.0%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Beagle
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beagle
Filppula
Last 5: Beagle 1-4 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
2
Beagle
Filppula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
2
Beagle
Filppula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
48.3% (944)
+8.5%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
57.7% (78)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
39.3% (140)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Filppula is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Beagle
Filppula
Home
57.6% (552)
48.3% (601)
Away
55.1% (555)
47.4% (561)
By Period
Beagle
Filppula
P1
56.9%
48.7%
P2
59.0%
45.8%
P3
54.0%
49.6%
OT
40.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |