Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Fiddler 50.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 51.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 54.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 51.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Beagle
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Beagle
Fiddler
Last 7: Beagle 3-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Beagle
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
52.4% (590)
+5.7%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
48.3% (29)
+36.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
47.5% (278)
+7.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Fiddler is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Beagle
Fiddler
Home
57.0% (307)
51.6% (434)
Away
59.1% (330)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Beagle
Fiddler
P1
59.1%
45.4%
P2
59.8%
52.1%
P3
56.4%
54.3%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |