Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Rask 51.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 52.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 63.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Beagle
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Beagle
Rask
Last 9: Beagle 9-0 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Rask
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
51.7% (862)
+6.4%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
45.3% (64)
+39.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
44.4% (9)
+11.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Beagle
Rask
Home
57.0% (307)
53.6% (466)
Away
59.1% (330)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Beagle
Rask
P1
59.1%
52.4%
P2
59.8%
50.5%
P3
56.4%
50.8%
OT
20.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |