Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Leino 46.1% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leino 54.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 96.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 87.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Beagle
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Beagle
Leino
Last 8: Beagle 5-3 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
2
Beagle
Leino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Leino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Leino
0
1
Beagle
Leino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
46.1% (596)
+11.4%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
42.1% (57)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
33.3% (6)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Leino is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Beagle
Leino
Home
59.1% (3,228)
46.1% (334)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Beagle
Leino
P1
57.4%
45.9%
P2
57.1%
44.8%
P3
56.2%
45.6%
OT
41.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ville Leino |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ville Leino |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Ville Leino |