Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 44.9% vs McClement 53.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 89.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 76.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Henrique
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Henrique
McClement
Last 8: Henrique 5-3 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
McClement
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Henrique
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (656)
55.7% (927)
-11.9%
Power Play
44.7% (152)
75.0% (12)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (110)
47.0% (321)
+0.3%
On power play, McClement has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Henrique is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Henrique shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Henrique
McClement
Home
45.3% (422)
55.9% (571)
Away
43.5% (496)
51.8% (689)
By Period
Henrique
McClement
P1
44.3%
55.8%
P2
44.1%
52.3%
P3
45.5%
53.3%
OT
26.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.3%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |