Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs McClement 51.5% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 79.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 82.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.4%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Ryan
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ryan
McClement
Last 7: Ryan 3-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
McClement
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Ryan
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Ryan
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
52.4% (802)
-11.1%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
73.9% (23)
-34.4%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
47.1% (314)
-20.4%
On power play, McClement has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Ryan is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Ryan shoots right. McClement is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Ryan
McClement
Home
38.4% (138)
57.6% (519)
Away
42.0% (81)
46.8% (633)
By Period
Ryan
McClement
P1
33.7%
55.3%
P2
40.3%
51.7%
P3
49.2%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
32.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |