Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs McClement 51.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 58.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 92.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 71.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
O'Reilly
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
O'Reilly
McClement
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
8
0
O'Reilly
McClement
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
6
O'Reilly
McClement
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
1
O'Reilly
McClement
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
52.4% (802)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
73.9% (23)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
47.1% (314)
+2.9%
On power play, McClement has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. McClement is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
McClement
Home
48.1% (243)
57.6% (519)
Away
44.9% (254)
46.8% (633)
By Period
O'Reilly
McClement
P1
43.2%
55.3%
P2
45.6%
51.7%
P3
50.9%
49.0%
OT
42.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jay McClement |