Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs McClement 51.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 78.6%
Neutral zone
McClement 53.8%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
O'Reilly
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
McClement
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
O'Reilly
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
54.5% (591)
-10.0%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
40.0% (10)
+8.3%
On even strength, McClement has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
McClement
Home
50.9% (112)
55.5% (422)
Away
40.4% (156)
47.5% (451)
By Period
O'Reilly
McClement
P1
56.5%
50.2%
P2
40.4%
49.5%
P3
36.3%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
35.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jay McClement |