Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs McClement 52.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 94.2%
Neutral zone
McClement 85.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
O'Reilly
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
O'Reilly
McClement
Last 10: O'Reilly 5-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
1
O'Reilly
McClement
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
7
O'Reilly
McClement
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
3
O'Reilly
McClement
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
54.4% (4,305)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
62.5% (104)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
47.2% (1,440)
+2.8%
On power play, McClement has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
McClement
Home
50.6% (480)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
43.2% (465)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
O'Reilly
McClement
P1
47.1%
53.5%
P2
46.7%
52.0%
P3
46.8%
53.2%
OT
54.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |