Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs McClement 54.6% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 62.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 73.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Tierney
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tierney
McClement
Last 6: Tierney 1-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Tierney
McClement
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
4
Tierney
McClement
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
57.6% (540)
-11.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
57.1% (7)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
45.8% (131)
-1.7%
On even strength, McClement has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Tierney
McClement
Home
48.5% (394)
56.0% (341)
Away
43.1% (411)
54.6% (337)
By Period
Tierney
McClement
P1
48.7%
52.7%
P2
49.0%
55.7%
P3
40.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jay McClement |