Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs McClement 51.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 93.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.8%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Smith
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Smith
McClement
Last 9: Smith 2-7 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
3
Smith
McClement
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Smith
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Smith
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
54.5% (591)
-9.6%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
40.0% (10)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.9% (263)
+5.1%
On even strength, McClement has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. McClement is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Smith
McClement
Home
46.1% (167)
55.5% (422)
Away
42.5% (226)
47.5% (451)
By Period
Smith
McClement
P1
42.1%
50.2%
P2
43.4%
49.5%
P3
47.0%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jay McClement |