Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.3% vs Smithson 54.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 60.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 66.4%
Neutral zone
McClement 64.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
McClement
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McClement
Smithson
Last 8: McClement 3-5 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Smithson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Smithson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
3
McClement
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (311)
55.5% (371)
-4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
75.0% (8)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
53.5% (99)
-2.2%
On power play, McClement has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. McClement is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
McClement shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
McClement
Smithson
Home
50.5% (216)
55.4% (249)
Away
53.1% (177)
55.5% (229)
By Period
McClement
Smithson
P1
45.5%
55.8%
P2
43.8%
52.6%
P3
61.4%
56.6%
OT
87.5%
83.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.7%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |