Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 38-17 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 91.6%
Neutral zone
McClement 74.5%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
McClement
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
38
(55 meetings)
17
38
McClement
Pavelski
Last 10: McClement 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
21
McClement
Pavelski
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
8
10
McClement
Pavelski
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
7
McClement
Pavelski
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
53.6% (8,791)
+0.8%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
58.2% (2,122)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
50.9% (1,138)
-3.7%
On power play, McClement has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
McClement shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
McClement
Pavelski
Home
55.4% (2,788)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
McClement
Pavelski
P1
53.5%
53.5%
P2
52.0%
55.2%
P3
53.2%
53.9%
OT
47.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |