Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.5% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 22-8 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
McClement 69.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 89.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 72.4%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
McClement
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
22
(30 meetings)
8
22
McClement
Pavelski
Last 10: McClement 3-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
9
McClement
Pavelski
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
8
McClement
Pavelski
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
5
McClement
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (802)
53.4% (682)
-1.0%
Power Play
73.9% (23)
63.7% (168)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (314)
48.1% (160)
-1.0%
On power play, McClement has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McClement is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (394).
McClement shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
McClement
Pavelski
Home
57.6% (519)
59.0% (527)
Away
46.8% (633)
49.3% (493)
By Period
McClement
Pavelski
P1
55.3%
50.8%
P2
51.7%
58.9%
P3
49.0%
53.6%
OT
31.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |