Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Thornton 54.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 81.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
McClement
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
McClement
Thornton
Last 10: McClement 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
12
McClement
Thornton
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
10
1
McClement
Thornton
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
McClement
Thornton
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
57.2% (1,387)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
56.7% (427)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
McClement
Thornton
Home
55.4% (2,788)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
McClement
Thornton
P1
53.5%
55.0%
P2
52.0%
53.3%
P3
53.2%
54.4%
OT
47.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |